As always, we base this outlook on public and private polling, the strategic bets the campaigns are making with tens of millions of advertising dollars, where Trump and Biden and their top-level surrogates are spending the bulk of their time, and on conversations with state-based and national political operatives, elected officials and advisers to both campaigns. As always, we base this outlook on public and private polling, the strategic bets the campaigns are making with tens of millions of advertising dollars, where Trump and Biden and their top-level surrogates are spending the bulk of their virtual and in-person time, and on conversations with state-based and national political operatives, elected officials and advisers to both campaigns. This story was provided to The Associated Press by The Center for Public Integrity, a nonprofit news organization based in Washington, D.C. The largest percentage of undocumented immigrants come from Mexico, according to the Pew Research Center. As of February, 37 states have legalized the medical use of cannabis: Alaska, Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Hawaii, Illinois, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington and West Virginia.
That leaves us with five states and one congressional district worth a total of 85 electoral votes that are the current toss-ups on the map: Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina and Ohio. That leaves us with five states and two congressional districts worth a total of 100 electoral votes that will likely prove decisive in selecting the direction the country heads in for the next four years: Florida, Georgia, Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania. The battle for 270 electoral votes is largely playing out across 14 states and two congressional districts. Biden’s building blocks to 270 start with a solid base of 203 electoral votes from 16 states and the District of Columbia. For his path to 270 electoral votes, Trump starts with a solid base of 125, from 20 states that are most likely to be uncontested.
For his path to 270 electoral votes, Trump starts with a solid base of 125 electoral votes from 20 states that are most likely to be uncontested in the fall. These are made up of true toss-up battleground states combined with states slightly leaning in one party’s direction or the other. After seeing the battle for the single electoral vote in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District (Omaha area) become much more engaged over the last month, it has become clear that that contest is no longer a Republican leaner but a straight up battleground. Between now and Election Day, both campaigns have more than $2 million reserved in the state. Yet, both the Trump and Biden campaigns currently believe Pennsylvania is going to be a hotly contested state all the way through to Election Day so we have moved it to our battleground category for now. If Trump runs the table and wins all 100 electoral votes currently in our battleground category and Biden wins all the states we currently have either solidly or leaning in his direction, it would be a 269-269 tie and head to the House of Representatives to be resolved. If Trump is to have a successful reelection effort, it has to start with running the table with all of them and then still finding at least 22 electoral votes currently leaning toward Biden and bringing them back into his fold.
It’s the most easy no-brainer thing to want to do for us ever,” said Chad Estis, the Cowboys’ executive vice president for business operations, about the partnership with the Mexican national team. “I take it back to 2009, when we probably didn’t know what the reaction would be as much. As federal pandemic spending winds down, the underlying trends we saw pre-pandemic are likely to return, with New York giving more to Washington than it gets back. Both states have struggled more than any others with the Omicron variant, mainly because of the rampant spread of cases in New York City, and many commuting from the Big Apple into other parts of the state and into Jersey. When you combine that base of solid states with the additional 38 electoral votes from Texas that are currently leaning in his direction, it brings Trump’s total to 163 electoral votes — 107 away from reelection.